Lorenzo Carboni vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Carboni wins 41.22% of points on their second serve recently, whereas Ovcharenko slightly edges ahead at 41.98%. Does this give Ovcharenko a second serve strength advantage? Yes, slightly.
• Carboni excels in return games, securing 47.21% of points on their opponent's second serve; Ovcharenko does slightly better with 48.88%.
• On the first serve return, Carboni has a higher success rate at 32.59% compared to Ovcharenko's 29.12%.
• When facing breakpoints, Carboni shows resilience with a 53.9% save rate, outperforming Ovcharenko at 48.84%.
• Carboni boasts a match win rate of 62.5% over the past year while Ovcharenko has a comparable 63.51% victory rate.
• Carboni's optimal performance surface is Hard with a 68% win rate, contrasted with Ovcharenko's preference for Clay at the same win percentage.
• Both players compete regularly in ITF tournaments, with Ovcharenko slightly more successful, winning 71.15% compared to Carboni's 68.33%.
• Carboni frequently faces opponents with an average rank of 323.72, suggesting they may encounter tougher competition than Ovcharenko, whose opponents average a rank of 391.41. Could this indicate an experience edge for Carboni? Arguably, yes.
• In deciding sets, Carboni is more successful, winning 57% of them compared to Ovcharenko's 48%.
• Carboni exhibits a slightly higher break point conversion rate at 38.7%, surpassing Ovcharenko's 35.96%.

Editorial Prediction (August 23, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming tennis match is shaping up to be a close encounter, with both players exhibiting strengths and weaknesses in various areas.

Carboni appears to have a slight advantage when it comes to pressure situations, succeeding in break point saves and demonstrating a good record in deciding sets.

Although Ovcharenko has a marginal edge in second serve and return game performance, Carboni's ability to face stronger opponents might provide them with an edge in adaptability and experience.

Taking all factors into consideration, Carboni appears to have a better chance of winning this match, thanks largely to their resilience in high-pressure situations and consistent performance against higher-ranked players.